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QPR Review: Arsenal Fail To Avert Ranger Danger

Premier League 2011-2012 / Game 31 / Loftus Road

Queens Park Rangers       2   (Taarabt 22, Diakite 66)
Arsenal                              1   (Walcott 37)

Arsene chose to start with the same eleven that began so brightly at Everton ten days ago, with the returning Koscielny replacing Djourou and Ramsey coming in for Gervinho. It was an understandable decision, based on the opening 20 minutes at Goodison Park, and the manager’s recent preference of playing a four-man midfield for away games.Arsenal’s winning run of seven games was halted by London neighbors Queens Park Rangers at Loftus Road yesterday, inflicting a first defeat for Arsene Wenger’s men since 22nd January 2012, when the Gunners lost by the same score to Manchester United at home.

QPR lined with Zamora up top on his own, and a solid five-man midfield of Derry, Barton and Diakite in the middle, with Taarabt left and Mackie right. At the back, the Rangers moved Onuoha to the right with Hill partnering Ferdinand in the centre and Taiwo at left back.

We dominated early possession without creating too much – a feature of much of the afternoon. QPR came into it quickly enough though, both Zamora and Mackie trying to make runs behind the back line. As the half wore on, the Rangers midfield started to press the ball much better, forcing Rosicky into losing possession on more than one occasion.

Our attacks were consistently narrow with both Rosicky and Ramsey preferring to cut inside at each opportunity. QPR were set up for breaking Arsenal’s play through the middle and they did just that.

At the other end, the home side were looking increasingly dangerous when Jamie Mackie or Adel Taarant were on the ball. Zamora was causing problems for both Koscielny and Vermaelen, holding the ball up well, drawing fouls and winning free kicks just outside the box.

Ranger’s opener came in the 22nd minute, after some brilliant work by Taarabt. The talented Moroccan wrong footed Vermaelen before going past the Belgian far too easily and then beating Szczesny to his left with a right footed shot. QPR had looked the more threatening, and the goal had been coming.

Arsenal were  stunned but could not muster an immediate response. Our defensive difficulties down the left side seemed to be growing. There was a lack of communication between Vermaelen and Gibbs, both defenders often going for the same ball with Ramsey still upfield. The Welshman did track back to help out in defence, however Mackie, Zamora and Barton were winning most of the tackles.

Arsenal’s equalizer came in the 37th minute after some good defensive work by Alex Song to win the ball deep into Arsenal’s half. A few passes later, it fell to Robin van Persie at the edge of the box, who managed to poke the ball into the box for Theo Walcott to run onto. The Englishman fired a right footed shot past Kenny, only for the ball to cannon off the post. Luckily, it fell straight into Theo’s path again and he coolly finished into an open net.

At 1-1, Arsenal did start to see more of the ball but never looked in total command and at half-time, Mark Hughes would have been the happier of the two managers.

After the break, the expectation was that Arsenal would come out firing and put the home team on the back foot. It did not happen that way, although as the half progressed, we did look more assured and kept possession without creating many clear-cut chances. There was one lovely through ball by Alex Song to set RvP into the box, and it looked like the Gunners were going to take the lead, but Captain Vantastic’s strike was well saved by Kenny.

By this time, the pitch was starting to fall apart. Whatever tips the curator at Loftus Road got from his counterpart in Milan, it certainly worked. Big chunks of grass were coming off, the ball was bobbling around and players were slipping all over the place – mostly Arsenal ones, it has to be said.

And the second QPR goal came from one such slip. Vermaelen was marking Mackie on the edge of box, when he lost his footing allowing Mackie to stroll past him, look up and find an unmarked Diakite running into box. The Malian made no mistake with a side-foot finish which gave Szczesny no chance.

Arsene Wenger made substitutions, taking off Ramsey for Gervinho and later replacing Arteta and Gibbs for Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain and Marouanne Chamakh. The Ox made a couple of good runs, we huffed and we puffed, but never really looked liked scoring. And so it ended 2-1 to the Rangers.

After the game, a disappointed Arsene Wenger had this to say:

Our performance was not good enough to win this kind of game, especially in the duels. They had a little bit of extra special commitment that took advantage of us in some specific positions defensively. Overall we can only congratulate QPR for their attitude and be unhappy with our own performance.

When asked if the result was down to a little bit of complacency, he said:

It is difficult to single out one reason but why not? We played against a team who play for survival. We prepared properly but we missed something today and you could see that.

So what went wrong?

The simplest answer is that we just didn’t play well enough yesterday. We failed to show the qualities which have brought us success recently – determination, energy, crisp passing, high tempo, good movement and finishing were all missing from our play. Considering the momentum we had built up, it was a strangely low key performance from Arsenal. It seemed we did not have a response to the combination of a Milanesque pitch, the physicality of Bobby Zamora up front and the work rate of the QPR midfield.

Did we get our tactics wrong?

Not really. Although as we were playing the 18th placed team in the league, I’d felt Arsene Wenger would have chosen to play this like a home game and retained our winning 4-3-3 formation. Still, I think it was more o a personnel issue than a tactical issue. Whatever Arsenal’s formation on paper, the wide midfield players usually interchange positions at the best of times.

With a predominant right foot and lack of genuine pace, Aaron Ramsey is unsuited to playing on the left hand side. QPR lined up with three holding midfielders, so it was always going to be difficult to create chances through the centre. The Welshman cannot be faulted for effort, but he does not look comfortable out wide, probably contributing to his current form as well.

On the other hand, both Gervinho and Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain have the ability to run down the outside or cut inside. As neither of them started, our attacks were predictably through the centre and the QPR right back was never tested. Combined with the fact that Walcott did not have the best of games, our wing play was non-existent on the left and not threatening enough on the right.

Even when Gervinho came on, Arsenal did not try to use the width and stretch play. Instead of whipping crosses in towards the end of the game when Chamakh was brought on, we continued to try to play our way in through the centre. RvP did not have a good game, and there were many occasions when he was not able to hold the ball up or create a clear cut opportunity.

This is the ideal game for Arsenal to evaluate, and work out a response to going behind against teams that sit deep and narrow. Namely, a plan B. We’ve seen Manchester United win tight games time and again by getting down wide and whipping balls into the box while midfield runners cause panic among the back line by pulling them in, to then invariably have a forward step up and tap in.

We ourselves have done this recently against Newcastle, where the pressure of dealing with balls into the box told on the visitors in the end, Vermaelen scoring in the last minute of injury time. Yesterday, we never really showed a desire or awareness to use this direct route after going down.

Overall though, we must maintain some perspective. The stats show we dominated the game in certain aspects. We bossed possession at 67%, attempted 649 passes to QPR’s 296, and completed  85% of them compared to QPR’s 70%. We had more corners than the home team, more crosses and a better crossing accuracy.

Crucially though, QPR won more possession duels and more tackles than we did. It’s an indication of what we saw visibly, that QPR competed with Arsenal throughout the match, even though they were seeing lesser of the ball. Still, we may have got something out of the game but for two mistakes by one of our defenders.

That’s football and that’s the Premier League. Maybe we were a little complacent, although it’s not only the players that got it wrong; the author of this post predicting yesterday that Arsenal would comfortably come out on top.

The one positive from yesterday was that Laurent Koscielny played the full 90 minutes without picking a yellow, meaning he will be eligible for the Manchester City game.

I think this is a good wake up call for us. Chelsea won yesterday and if the Tots do the same today, Arsene’s warning that we could finish anywhere between third and sixth will certainly ring true.

We have certainly been ‘up for it’ against the bigger sides this season, discounting the United game in August of course, so I am confident the players will refocus after this setback and come back strong against the Blues. Chin up and let’s move forward.

That’s it for today, your comments most welcome. Until tomorrow.

QPR Preview: Gunning For A Straight Eight

Good morning Gooners.

Before we get into the preview for this afternoon’s game, there are a couple of things I’d like to touch on quickly.

Today is the 11th death anniversary of an Arsenal legend, David ‘Rocky’ Rocastle, sadly taken away at the young age of 33. As a newer Gooner myself, Rocky played at Arsenal before my love affair with the club began. As such, I am not well placed to pay tribute to him. I will however recommend that you read two blogs which have touched upon the midfielder’s genius - Red & White Scarf AFC’s moving tribute here and Dave Seager’s look at homegrown players here. #RIPRocky.

The second is about the sad news emerging yesterday that Aston Villa’s Stiliyan Petrov has been diagnosed with acute leukaemia. Just as we are recovering from the shock of Fabrice Muamba’s brush with death, this news comes as a sickening blow to football fans. As a professional footballer however, we can be assured Stiliyan will receive the best possible medical attention. Let us hope he can pull through this very tough time, just as Fabrice has. #PrayForPetrov.

Well, onto the football today. At 3pm, Arsenal take on Queens Park Rangers at Loftus Road, aiming to record an eighth straight league victory for the first since 2004.

The match day/time has a lot to do with the Gunners’ fortunes, or so the numbers will have you believe. Arsenal have played 8 matches at the Saturday/3pm slot this season, winning all 8 games, scoring 18 goals and conceding only 1 in the process. Except for conceding the goal, more of the same please.

In team news, Arsene Wenger has confirmed that Laurent Koscielny has recovered from the tendinitis injury which sidelined him against Villa. Whilst the Kos is included in the squad, I still believe it would be prudent not to play him today. The French defender is one yellow card away from earning a 2 match suspension, a card in this game would see him miss the crucial clash with City next Sunday. Johan Djourou filled in ably the last time around, and there’s no reason to doubt the Swiss defender will not repeat the same performane if given a chance today.

In his press conference yesterday, Le Boss touched on various issues; from tying up players contracts quickly to his views on Manchester City’s title bid. On the game at hand, he said:

I see us fighting like mad to win the game tomorrow, I don’t look further than that.

We are focused on QPR, believe me. We know that is always a tricky game for everybody and that is what is important to us. After that we focus on the next one and our capability to finish the season in a strong way depends on just how much we focus on every game.

In the reverse fixture at the Emirates on New Year’s Eve, Robin van Persie scored the winner in a 1-0 victory for the Arsenal. It was a time when Neil Warnock was still in charge at Loftus Road. It was also a time when all four Gunners full backs were out injured. It affected our potency in attack, and while we dominated possession (60%) and created good opportunities, the Hoops did make it difficult for us with a good defensive display.

After that game, our fortunes went down before they went up. We lost all three of our January league games, failing to pick up a single point during the first month of 2012. Since the beginning of February though, we are unbeaten in 8 league games and have won 7 in a row, overhauling Spuds in third. Confidence is high, team spirit is strong, and the Arsenal swagger is visible in the performances once more.

For QPR, their league position has worsened by one place since the arrival of Mark Hughes. The Rs were 17th when the Welshman took over. Now, they are firmly in the race to avoid relegation, sitting in 18th spot and with difficult matches against the top sides still to come. To add to their misery, their most potent attacking force Djibril Cisse, is suspended after seeing a red card against Sunderland, his second from just five league games.

Tactically, Mark Hughes seems to prefer playing a 4-4-2 formation in most games. With Cisse suspended, Jamie Mackie may well partner Bobby Zamora up top. But considering Arsenal will try to control play with good possession in midfield, I expect Hughes to pack the midfield area and try to stop the visitors from dictating play. In that case, Mackie would play just behind Zamora, and will be expected to help with defensive duties as much as offensive ones.

Although his recent form is quite patchy, Joey Barton should return in the QPR starting eleven, not only because of his experience but also because of his propensity to get Arsenal players sent off. On the other side, Shaun Wright-Phillips may be given a start, although I think Mark Hughes will prefer to go with Adel Taarabt, the Moroccan attacking midfielder is skillful enough to create something from nothing.

Arsenal have confidence surging through the veins at present and will be likely to line up in a more attacking 4-3-3 formation. The wingers will drop deep to get the ball if required and also to press when Rangers have it. Lately, Arsene Wenger has preferred to play a tighter 4-4-2 away from home, as against Everton, but the Gunners will fancy breaking the opposition defence down with pace and directness on the wings.

Probable starting XIs:

Arsenal
Szczesny/ Sagna - Djourou - Vermaelen - Gibbs / Song - Arteta - Rosicky / Walcott - Rvp - Gervinho

QPR
Kenny / Young - Onuoha - Ferdinand - Taiwo / Taarabt – Derry - Mackie – Diakite -Barton / Zamora

Arsenal should remain unchanged from the Villa game. Although I would be tempted to give Alex Oxlde-Chamberlain a run out, Arsene Wenger is rightly concerned about over-using the precocious youngster in his first season and usually prefers the greater experience offered by Gervinho at the start.

Personnel notwithstanding, Arsenal will try to continue the same modus operandi which has been so successful recently i.e. press high up the pitch, control possession in midfield, move the ball at a good tempo, get the full backs involved in attacks, and create openings by stretching the QPR defence.

In midfield, the Gunners should have enough quality to retain possession for long periods of time. While Taarabt is good going forward and can trouble the defence, both he and Barton have average pass completion percentages of 75% and 68% respectively. This suggests that even on occasions when QPR have possession on the wings, 1 out of 4 passes will fail to find a teammate.

In attack, Robin van Persie will pose a constant threat to Nedum Onuoha and Anton Ferdinand. Both young defenders are prone to making the odd positional mistake. At full back, Luke Young and Taye Taiwo will be severely tested by the pace of Walcott and the directness of Gervinho. Bacary Sagna will link up with Theo Walcott on the right, and Kieran Gibbs will maraud down the left; both full backs recently showing their appetite for the odd goal.

In defence, we seem to have sorted out our long-standing problem of dealing with long balls and set pieces. Rangers will be forced to try the more direct route if our pressing is successful, but Vermaelen and Djourou should win most aerial duels. For a tall central striker, Bobby Zamora wins only 37% of aerial duels, far less than the 57% won by Vermaelen and an impressive 68% won by Djourou.

There is one area that Arsenal must concentrate on; maintaining discipline and professionalism.

The combination of Mark Hughes as the opposing manager, Joey Barton as their captain and the card-happy Mike Dean as the referee, requires Arsenal players to be cautious in dealing with any aggravation or perceived injustice. Alex Song and Gervinho have already faced suspensions on account of tangling with Barton early in the season. The Gunners can ill afford any suspension to key personnel at this stage of the campaign.

In summary, although QPR will certainly put up a fight as they look to stave off relegation in front of their home support, Arsenal’s superior quality will allow the Gunners to dominate the game for long periods. The home teams’ best chance will be to defend well, try to catch the visitors on counter attacks and hope for some luck.

I am going for a conservative 2-0 result for us. Although if the Gunners are in the mood and QPR is chasing the game in the second half, I can see this being a right thrashing; a 4-0 rout not out of the question.

Enjoy the game, here’s hoping tomorrow’s match review comes with 3 points safely tucked inside. #COYG!

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